Weighted Factor Analysis

also Weighing Factors · Weighted-Sum Scoring · Weighted Average Method · Weighted Factor Matrix


A decision method that scores each factor, multiplies each score by an importance weight, and sums the products into one overall evaluation.

Weighted factor analysis scores each factor of an option, multiplies each score by a weight for its importance, and adds the products into a single “overall goodness” number, so options can be ranked. It appears as weighted pro/con lists, weighted matrices, school grades, college and car rankings, and product reviews (RTINGS scores a TV from 50+ weighted sub-factors). CF treats it as the dominant — and mistaken — model of multi-factor decision making.

CF’s core objection is mathematical. Factors live in different dimensions (price, cuteness, safety), so they are unlike terms that cannot be added; summing them is like adding acres, hours, and grams. Weights are really unit-conversion factors between dimensions, but there is no objective rate converting, say, cuteness into dollars. People convert each factor to a made-up “goodness” dimension, but the weights are arbitrary — typically reverse-engineered to match a conclusion already held (rank Harvard high, then weight whatever Harvard does well).

A deeper objection: weighted sums are a maximizer strategy that makes every tiny factor shift the total, yielding fragile conclusions hypersensitive to noise and rounding. CF wants robust judgments instead.

The proposed replacement is binary evaluation: convert each factor into a good-enough pass/fail sub-goal, then combine them by multiplying binaries — one failure fails the whole. This is the same move as Goldratt’s pro/con method of solving every con. It focuses analysis on a few key factors and breakpoints rather than blending dozens.


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Sources

  1. Multi-Factor Decision Making Math Primary criticalfallibilism.com
  2. People Use Weighted Factors Primary criticalfallibilism.com
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